Articles
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://ds.uofallujah.edu.iq/handle/123456789/160
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Item Analysis of Financial Sustainability Indicators and their Reflection on the "Economic Cycle" in Iraq for the Period (2004-2022)(South Asian Research Journal of Business and Management, 2024-12-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe study investigates the impact of "financial sustainability" indicators on Iraq's "economic cycle" from 2004 to 2022. It hypothesizes that changes in these indicators affect the "economic cycle" both positively and negatively, with varying degrees in the short and long term, depending on the country's economic policies. Using the ARDL model for analysis, the results reveal a significant positive relationship between GDP and indicators such as the "public revenues"-to-expenditures ratio (X1), the "public debt"-to-GDP ratio (X2), and the tax gap index (X3). Conversely, a significant negative relationship was found with the "public revenues"-to-GDP ratio (X4), the oil revenues-to-"public revenues" ratio (X5), and the external debt-to-exports ratio (X6). The study recommends that fiscal policies be designed to counteract "economic cycle"s, encouraging austerity and investment during booms and expansionary measures during recessions to stabilize the economy and promote "financial sustainabilityItem The impact of the Iraqi Stock Exchange indicators on the money supply (M2) in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021)(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدItem The impact of the Iraqi Stock Exchange indicators on the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2023-12-30) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the short and long term relationship between the impact of the Iraq Stock Exchange indicators on the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021) using the modern methodology of co-integration. According to the (ARDL) model. As a result of the impact of fluctuations in the Iraqi market for stock indices on the gross domestic product The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was that the hypothesis on which the research was based was proven, which assumed the existence of a direct relationship between the indicators of the Iraqi market for securities (the independent variable) and the gross domestic product (the dependent variable) and this means that the high indicators of the Iraqi market for securities Lead to an increase in the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy. Therefore, the research recommends the need to continue analyzing macroeconomic indicators in Iraq for the coming years in order to use them as warning indicators about the possibility of the country falling into a financial crisis, by knowing its behaviorItem Analysis of the impact of the exchange rate on inflation rates in the Iraqi economy for the period (2010-2021) using the model of different time frequencies (Midas(Al Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 2023-09-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to clarify the effect of the exchange rate of the quarterly frequency on economic inflation in the Iraqi economy or not in the Iraqi economy for the period (2010-2021) using the model of different time frequencies (Midas), because of the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on economic inflation rates, and the research concluded To a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the presence of a positive effect of the exchange..Item تطور معدلات التضخم وانعكاسها على معدل البطالة في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (2005-2022)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2023-10-05) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to show the impact of the inflation rate on unemployment in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), and some standard results have been reached, including the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship that tends from the rate of economic inflation to unemployment in the Iraqi economy during the period (2005-2022) In addition to the existence of the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment rates in the Iraqi economy, and this does not correspond to the logic of economic theory, in addition to the fact that the problem of unemployment was and still is the result of the decisions of the occupying power and the consequent economic policies that are not studied under unstable security, political and health conditions during the research period The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the presence of an adverse effect, as inflation rates exert a weak adverse effect on the unemployment rate in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), meaning that an increase in the inflation rate works to decrease the unemployment rate during the research period, so the research recommends the necessity Increasing government spending on some economic sectors, and this in turn leads to a reduction in the unemployment rate in the Iraqi economyItem 2003تحليل العلاقة بين عرض النقد وبعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في الاقتصاد العراقي بعد عام(مجلة جامعة كركوك للعلوم الإدارية والاقتصادية, 2021-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; أ.م.د. مهند خليفة عبيدThis research, which dealt with the analysis of the relationship between the money supply and some of the macroeconomic variables (public spending, apparent unemployment), aims to uncover the effects that the money supply has on some of the macroeconomic variables in Iraq. Therefore, the money supply can affect the economic variables, and this has been proven by the standard tests, as the results of the study showed an integrative relationship between the independent variable represented by the money supply and the dependent variables (government spending and apparent unemployment)Item The impact of gross domestic product on banking assets in Iraq for the period (2005-2020)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2022-12-29) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the short and long-term relationship between the effect of the increase in GDP on banking assets in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020) using the modern methodology of joint integration according to the (ARDL) model, and the results of the relationship showed that the increase in GDP was It has a significant impact on the increase in banking assets in Iraq during the study period, with a long-term equilibrium relationship moving from the gross domestic product to the banking assets in Iraq during the period (2005-2020). The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the existence of a strong direct effect between the size of the gross domestic product and the banking assets, meaning that the increase in the gross domestic product led to an increase in the volume of banking assets in Iraq during the study period in Iraq (2005-2020), so the research recommends the need to take advantage of The increase in the volume of banking assets in granting loans and operating projects that would advance the economic cycle within the country and that works to increase the gross domestic product and diversify the contribution of economicItem Analysis of the impact of some macroeconomic variables on the public debt in Iraq for the period (2004-2020)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2024-04-07) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to study some macroeconomic variables (economic growth, inflation, unemployment, money supply (M2)) and their relationship to public debt, in addition to measuring and analyzing the relationship between some macroeconomic variables and public debt in the Iraqi economy. For the period (2004-2020). As the research relied on the descriptive approach and the quantitative approach based on econometrics through the application of modern standard methods, as the methodology of the Autoregressive Distributed Deceleration Model (ARDL) was used, and the quarterly data..Item Analyzing of the Impact of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance in the Iraqi Economy for the period (2004-2020)(Al Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 2023-03-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; أ.م.د. سعد نوري عطا اللهThe aim of the research is about the role of the exchange rate and its success in influencing the trade balance in the Iraqi economy during the period (2004-2020), as well as using the descriptive analytical method for the variables adopted in the research. The results of the analysis of the relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance showed that the exchange rate explained the changes in the balance (66%) and that (4%) is due to external factors that fall outside the model, and the results of the long-term response show a weak direct effect between the exchange rate and the trade balance, meaning that the increase in the exchange rate led to a weak increase in the trade balance in Iraq during a period The research is due to the weakness of Iraqi exports and their dependence on one source, which is oil exportsItem Analysis of the impact of the investment multiplier on economic inflation in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020)(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; م.م. علي حامد عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the relationship between the effect of the investment multiplier and inflation in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020) using the modern methodology of co-integration according to the (ARDL) model. Investment on the dependent variable represented by inflation in the Iraqi economy during the research period, due to the dependence of total investment in Iraq on a single source represented by public revenues derived from the revenues of the oil sector. It is marred by the formation of specialized committees that direct public investment towards achieving economic diversification in sources of income through the use of fiscal policy tools to activate the multiplier mechanism and then enable it to address the gaps that the Iraqi economy may be exposed to.