Analyze and Investigate the Risks Facing Iraqi Economy for the Period (2003-2019)

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze and investigate the risk that facing the Iraqi economy based on mathematical models for the period 2003 to 2019. International uncertainties could dampen next market activity and create crises. The Kolmogorov- Smirnov Test, the normality test, and the Multicollinearity Test have all been run and shown to be consistent with the hypotheses. It was the need for communication between the Iraqi securities market and domestic financial and economic institutions that sparked this study's premise. Expected return and risk values of the Iraqi money market were analysed statistically using three different mathematical models. The study found various things, but the most important one was that the Iraqi securities market doesn't play much of a part in the country's economy. The risk of being hit hard by fallout from international crises that may be exacerbated by illegal capital flows leading to irrational speculation as a result of the anticipated openness. Vulnerability to external difficulties makes it tough to implement monetary and financial policies