Articles
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://ds.uofallujah.edu.iq/handle/123456789/160
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Item 2003تحليل العلاقة بين عرض النقد وبعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية في الاقتصاد العراقي بعد عام(مجلة جامعة كركوك للعلوم الإدارية والاقتصادية, 2021-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; أ.م.د. مهند خليفة عبيدThis research, which dealt with the analysis of the relationship between the money supply and some of the macroeconomic variables (public spending, apparent unemployment), aims to uncover the effects that the money supply has on some of the macroeconomic variables in Iraq. Therefore, the money supply can affect the economic variables, and this has been proven by the standard tests, as the results of the study showed an integrative relationship between the independent variable represented by the money supply and the dependent variables (government spending and apparent unemployment)Item Analysis of Financial Sustainability Indicators and their Reflection on the "Economic Cycle" in Iraq for the Period (2004-2022)(South Asian Research Journal of Business and Management, 2024-12-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe study investigates the impact of "financial sustainability" indicators on Iraq's "economic cycle" from 2004 to 2022. It hypothesizes that changes in these indicators affect the "economic cycle" both positively and negatively, with varying degrees in the short and long term, depending on the country's economic policies. Using the ARDL model for analysis, the results reveal a significant positive relationship between GDP and indicators such as the "public revenues"-to-expenditures ratio (X1), the "public debt"-to-GDP ratio (X2), and the tax gap index (X3). Conversely, a significant negative relationship was found with the "public revenues"-to-GDP ratio (X4), the oil revenues-to-"public revenues" ratio (X5), and the external debt-to-exports ratio (X6). The study recommends that fiscal policies be designed to counteract "economic cycle"s, encouraging austerity and investment during booms and expansionary measures during recessions to stabilize the economy and promote "financial sustainabilityItem Analysis of the evolution of the relationship between public revenues and total savings in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005 2021)(University of Kirkuk Journal For Administrative and Economic Science, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to know the extent to which there is a relationship between public revenues and the rate of savings in the Iraqi economy using quarterly data for the period (2005-2021), and the research proceeds from the basic hypothesis that there is a direct relationship between public revenues and savings, and the results of the analytical side showed the presence of fluctuations in the values of each of the revenues The results of the standard analysis showed that there is a direct, statistically significant relationship between public revenues and savings rates. The research concluded a set of conclusions, the most important of which was the existence of a strong and significant positive correlation at a significant level (1%), which means that the increase in public revenues led to an increase in savings in the Iraqi economy during the research period. As for the recommendations, the most important of them is working on the optimal use of available economic resources, making radical reforms in investment projects, focusing on productivity and effective use of capital, and the need to provide a stable policy. It helps to increase revenues in all its forms, and finally the need to work to increase coordination and interdependence between the policy of public revenues and savings in the Iraqi economyItem Analysis of the evolution of the relationship between public revenues and total savings in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2021)(University of Kirkuk Journal For Administrative and Economic Science, 2023-11-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to know the extent to which there is a relationship between public revenues and the rate of savings in the Iraqi economy using quarterly data for the period (2005-2021), and the research proceeds from the basic hypothesis that there is a direct relationship between public revenues and savings, and the results of the analytical side showed the presence of fluctuations in the values of each of the revenues The results of the standard analysis showed that there is a direct, statistically significant relationship between public revenues and savings rates. The research concluded a set of conclusions, the most important of which was the existence of a strong and significant positive correlation at a significant level (1%), which means that the increase in public revenues led to an increase in savings in the Iraqi economy during the research period. As for the recommendations, the most important of them is working on the optimal use of available economic resources, making radical reforms in investment projects, focusing on productivity and effective use of capital, and the need to provide a stable policy. It helps to increase revenues in all its forms, and finally the need to work to increase coordination and interdependence between the policy of public revenues and savings in the Iraqi economyItem Analysis of the impact of some macroeconomic variables on the public debt in Iraq for the period (2004-2020)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2024-04-07) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to study some macroeconomic variables (economic growth, inflation, unemployment, money supply (M2)) and their relationship to public debt, in addition to measuring and analyzing the relationship between some macroeconomic variables and public debt in the Iraqi economy. For the period (2004-2020). As the research relied on the descriptive approach and the quantitative approach based on econometrics through the application of modern standard methods, as the methodology of the Autoregressive Distributed Deceleration Model (ARDL) was used, and the quarterly data..Item Analysis of the impact of the exchange rate on inflation rates in the Iraqi economy for the period (2010-2021) using the model of different time frequencies (Midas(Al Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 2023-09-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to clarify the effect of the exchange rate of the quarterly frequency on economic inflation in the Iraqi economy or not in the Iraqi economy for the period (2010-2021) using the model of different time frequencies (Midas), because of the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on economic inflation rates, and the research concluded To a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the presence of a positive effect of the exchange..Item Analysis of the impact of the investment multiplier on economic inflation in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020)(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; م.م. علي حامد عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the relationship between the effect of the investment multiplier and inflation in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020) using the modern methodology of co-integration according to the (ARDL) model. Investment on the dependent variable represented by inflation in the Iraqi economy during the research period, due to the dependence of total investment in Iraq on a single source represented by public revenues derived from the revenues of the oil sector. It is marred by the formation of specialized committees that direct public investment towards achieving economic diversification in sources of income through the use of fiscal policy tools to activate the multiplier mechanism and then enable it to address the gaps that the Iraqi economy may be exposed to.Item Analysis of the relationship between the index of the number of shares in the Iraqi Stock Exchange and some macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021(Journal of Business Economics for Applied Research, 2024-06-30) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the relationship between the effect of the number of shares index on some macroeconomic variables in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021) using the analytical approach and according to the effect of fluctuations in the Iraqi economy. The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was that the overall relationship between the index of the number of shares and the average per capita share of the gross domestic product is a positive relationship in most of the research period, and this is consistent with the logic of economic theory. And that the overall relationship between the index of the number of shares and the money supply is a positive relationship in most of the research period, and this is consistent with the logic of economic theory, i.e. an increase in the rates of the number of shares index leads to an increase in the money supply in the Iraqi economy during the research period And that the overall relationship between the index of the number of shares and the unemployment rate is that the relationship is negative in most of the research period and this is consistent with the logic of economic theory، and therefore the research recommends that the state should work to find appropriate solutions and work to find an appropriate alternative such as the development of the industrial sector and the agricultural sector،Item Analyzing of the Impact of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance in the Iraqi Economy for the period (2004-2020)(Al Kut Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 2023-03-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; أ.م.د. سعد نوري عطا اللهThe aim of the research is about the role of the exchange rate and its success in influencing the trade balance in the Iraqi economy during the period (2004-2020), as well as using the descriptive analytical method for the variables adopted in the research. The results of the analysis of the relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance showed that the exchange rate explained the changes in the balance (66%) and that (4%) is due to external factors that fall outside the model, and the results of the long-term response show a weak direct effect between the exchange rate and the trade balance, meaning that the increase in the exchange rate led to a weak increase in the trade balance in Iraq during a period The research is due to the weakness of Iraqi exports and their dependence on one source, which is oil exportsItem Public spending and its impact on inflation rates in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022)(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to analyze the impact of public spending on economic inflation rates in the Iraqi economy during the period (2005 - 2022) and the use of time series to express the nature of the relationship between the variables of the study by estimating and analyzing the relationship in the applied side in which the ARDL model was used, and the research relied on a basic hypothesis that states The presence of a significant positive effect of the independent variable represented in public spending on the dependent variable represented by economic inflation in the Iraqi economy. For the period (2005-2022). The research concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship that extends from public spending to inflation in Iraq during the research period, in addition to the existence of an inverse relationship between public spending and inflation, as public spending has a weak negative impact on inflation rates in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), i.e. The increase in public spending works to reduce inflation rates during the research period.Item The impact of gross domestic product on banking assets in Iraq for the period (2005-2020)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2022-12-29) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the short and long-term relationship between the effect of the increase in GDP on banking assets in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2020) using the modern methodology of joint integration according to the (ARDL) model, and the results of the relationship showed that the increase in GDP was It has a significant impact on the increase in banking assets in Iraq during the study period, with a long-term equilibrium relationship moving from the gross domestic product to the banking assets in Iraq during the period (2005-2020). The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the existence of a strong direct effect between the size of the gross domestic product and the banking assets, meaning that the increase in the gross domestic product led to an increase in the volume of banking assets in Iraq during the study period in Iraq (2005-2020), so the research recommends the need to take advantage of The increase in the volume of banking assets in granting loans and operating projects that would advance the economic cycle within the country and that works to increase the gross domestic product and diversify the contribution of economicItem The impact of the Iraqi Stock Exchange indicators on the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2023-12-30) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe aim of the research is to measure and analyze the short and long term relationship between the impact of the Iraq Stock Exchange indicators on the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021) using the modern methodology of co-integration. According to the (ARDL) model. As a result of the impact of fluctuations in the Iraqi market for stock indices on the gross domestic product The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was that the hypothesis on which the research was based was proven, which assumed the existence of a direct relationship between the indicators of the Iraqi market for securities (the independent variable) and the gross domestic product (the dependent variable) and this means that the high indicators of the Iraqi market for securities Lead to an increase in the gross domestic product in the Iraqi economy. Therefore, the research recommends the need to continue analyzing macroeconomic indicators in Iraq for the coming years in order to use them as warning indicators about the possibility of the country falling into a financial crisis, by knowing its behaviorItem The impact of the Iraqi Stock Exchange indicators on the money supply (M2) in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2021)(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2023-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدItem The policy of spending on education and its role in achieving economic growth in Iraq for the period (2005-2022) with reference to the Singaporean experience / strategic vision(International Journal of Financial Management and Economics, 2024-09-04) م.م. منار سامي حميد; أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبد; أ.م.د. اسماعيل حمادي مجبلEconomic literature, especially macroeconomic models, indicates that there is a relationship between spending on education and economic growth. This relationship has attracted the attention of many economists and researchers for many decades and has been the subject of intense controversy. Education and development complement each other, as investment in education has contributed over the years. There is a lot in developing the economies of many countries and making it one of the strongest economies, including Singapore. Despite the achievements that have been made in the field of quantitative expansion in education, the situation of education in Iraq is still modest compared to the achievements of other countries, even in the countries of the developing world, due to financial and administrative corruption? His journey witnessed great fluctuations as a result of the exceptional circumstances that the country went through during the research period, which led to the obstruction of the educational process in Iraq. The results of the long-term response that were tested on the standard side show the presence of a weak positive effect, as spending on education exerts a weak positive effect on the average income share. Per capita GDP in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), and this applies to the reality of the Iraqi economy.Item The research aims to analyze the impact of public spending on economic inflation rates in the Iraqi economy during the period (2005 - 2022) and the use of time series to express the nature of the relationship between the variables of the study by estimating and analyzing the relationship in the applied side in which the ARDL model was used, and the research relied on a basic hypothesis that states The presence of a significant positive effect of the independent variable represented in public spending on the dependent variable represented by economic inflation in the Iraqi economy. For the period (2005-2022). The research concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship that extends from public spending to inflation in Iraq during the research period, in addition to the existence of an inverse relationship between public spending and inflation, as public spending has a weak negative impact on inflation rates in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), i.e. The increase in public spending works to reduce inflation rates during the research period.(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2021-03-21) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to show the effect of public expenditures on unemployment rates in Iraq during the period (2004-2018). The research has assumed that unemployment rates are affected by changes in public expenditures, as public expenditures are an independent variable that affects unemployment rates, which are a variable dependent on public expenditures, The results of the research showed that there is a significant bilateral causal relationship that tends from public expenditures to unemployment and from unemployment to public expenditures , Consequently, it is necessary to find solutions and treatments for the problem of unemployment in Iraq. One of these solutions is the application of the Islamic economic viewpoint to tackle unemployment, especially since Iraq has a great Islamic heritage that distinguishes it from other countries. The possibility of applying public spending mechanisms in the Islamic economy to address unemployment is possible if it is applied correctly To reduce the phenomenon of unemployment in the Iraqi economyItem تطور معدلات التضخم وانعكاسها على معدل البطالة في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (2005-2022)(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2023-10-05) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to show the impact of the inflation rate on unemployment in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), and some standard results have been reached, including the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship that tends from the rate of economic inflation to unemployment in the Iraqi economy during the period (2005-2022) In addition to the existence of the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment rates in the Iraqi economy, and this does not correspond to the logic of economic theory, in addition to the fact that the problem of unemployment was and still is the result of the decisions of the occupying power and the consequent economic policies that are not studied under unstable security, political and health conditions during the research period The research concluded a number of conclusions, the most important of which was the presence of an adverse effect, as inflation rates exert a weak adverse effect on the unemployment rate in the Iraqi economy for the period (2005-2022), meaning that an increase in the inflation rate works to decrease the unemployment rate during the research period, so the research recommends the necessity Increasing government spending on some economic sectors, and this in turn leads to a reduction in the unemployment rate in the Iraqi economyItem فعالية السياسة المالية للقضاء على البطالة في العراق بعد عام 200(مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم الاقتصادية والادارية, 2019-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThrough the subject of our research we tried to show the effectiveness of fiscal policy to eliminate unemployment in Iraq in light of the current economic changes after 2003, Given the role of fiscal policy in achieving the desired objectives through public revenues and public expenditures on the unemployment rate, which is a key indicator in the economy of any country. For this purpose, this research was divided into a theoretical section to clarify the basic concepts about the tools of financial policy and the concept of unemployment and its causes and the most important types, and an application section to analyze the evolution of revenues and public expenditures and the statement of deficit and surplus in the general budget and analysis of unemployment rates during the study period (2014-2003), The study reached a number of conclusions, the most important of which is that the increase in real public expenditures in a certain year leads to a decrease in the unemployment rate and reflects the role played by fiscal policy through its tools in reducing unemployment rates, The main objective of the study is to study the most important developments of the fiscal policy in the Iraqi economy on the side of the general budget (revenues and expenditures) for the period (2014-2003) and its impact on the level of unemployment by reducing the phenomenon of unemployment in IraqItem قياس وتحليل اثر النمو الاقتصادي والفقر على التفاوت في توزيع الدخل في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 1996-2019(مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال, 2021-02-13) أ.م.د. مهند خميس عبدThe research aims to show the effect of economic growth measured by the average per capita real gross domestic product (AGDP), and poverty measured by the absolute poverty line (ZP)) on the disparity in income distribution as measured by the Gini coefficient in the Iraqi economy for the period (1996-2019). The research is based on the analytical descriptive approach and the quantitative, quantitative approach based on econometrics، The results of the analytical side showed that the Iraqi economy witnessed an increase in the rates of inequality in the distribution of income and poverty and a decrease in the indicators of economic growth, as the average value of the Gini coefficient, which summarizes the state of disparity in the distribution of income (0.379) for the period (1996-2019), which means that The Iraqi economy is characterized by a high degree of disparity in income distribution during the research period, and the average absolute poverty line is (121,069) dinars, While the highest average per capita real GDP was (5515.13) dinars in (2016), while the results of the standard aspect showed: the existence of a positive significant relationship between the disparity in the distribution of income (Gini) and economic growth (AGDP) and slowing down the dependent variable ((Gini_(t-1)